For some reason, the bookies make Chelsea the overwhelming odds-on favourites to win the Premier League this season.

However, I think anyone backing them at this stage needs their bumps feeling.

Despite winning against Fulham today, their price has drifted slightly (they were around 1.67 yesterday but are available at around 1.90 today) but this is because Arsenal’s price has come in substantially (to 5.0 from around 6.0) and what this means is that United’s price has drifted slightly to around 3.5 (from 3.4 yesterday).

I will go on record right here and now and say that any money on Arsenal is wasted money. They will NOT win the league this season.

Personally, I make it 50/50 between Chelsea and Manchester United.

If I tossed a coin and offered you 3.5 on heads, you would take it right? (if you just answered “no”, you’re in the wrong place, mentally and physically).

I watched Chelsea today and whilst they won, they were not convincing at all.

Our recent hodge-podge defensive line-ups almost fared better than Chelsea’s today and when you consider that it consisted of the vastly experienced trio of Terry, Carvalho and Cech, it doesn’t bode well for Chelsea.

On another day, they would have been caught out royally. A few years ago, I would have picked any one of those three for Manchester United and I probably would have taken all three without a second thought but today they looked woeful.

It wasn’t an off day, however. Cech hasn’t been the same keeper for quite a few years now (arguably since his serious head injury) and his flappiness is rubbing off on his central defenders who no longer seem to know whether he is going to come or stay and this is starting to make them look bad.

I have felt for a few years now that despite Terry getting most of the plaudits for being “Mister Chelsea”, it was Carvalho who was the main man in the defence but even he is starting to look dodgy.

Terry has looked dodgy for a couple of seasons now and relies on refs not seeing his cheating to get by. He has no pace and is caught out of position quite easily. He normally relies on Carvalho to bail him out but, as mentioned, even he doesn’t seem to know what he is doing at the moment.

There is one man in the Chelsea shirt at the moment who makes all the difference and that man is Drogba.

If he took every chance he gets in a match, he could score a hunded goals per season with ease but mercifully for the rest of us, he doesn’t but he does take a considerable amount of them and he has been the difference between no points and points for Chelsea on several occasions over the last few years.

Now that he is about to leave for the African Cup of Nations, Chelsea might struggle. He is one less man for the opposition to worry about but it must feel like two men for opposition defences.

I said a couple of games ago that we would overturn the deficit before the end of January and I will stand by that.

Chelsea have got lucky over the last few games (dodgy penalty decisions, own goals etc) but their luck is about to run out and we are going to come good for the rest of the season.

It has taken us a while to adjust to the loss of Ronaldo but we are now well and truly over it. There are goals all over the pitch for us and the defence is starting to look healthy again.

I can say for certain that our price to win the league right now is as high as it is going to get in the foreseeable future and it is going to come down at some point between now and the end of the season to 2.0 or lower which makes for a nice trade-off situation. Take it now.